Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin Magazine: The Future of Bitcoin: Scaling, Institutional Adoption, and Strategic Reserves

The cryptocurrency market has gone sideways the past few months. Part of that looks like a healthy trend, following a big move higher at the end of 2024. Such pauses have been normal in prior crypto rallies as well.

So far, investors are waiting on the next big move higher. And as a result, much of the froth in the market is gone. That could be setting up for the next move nigher.

So far, bitcoin dominance remains intact. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap continues to gain market share. Smaller cryptocurrencies have yet to take off.

Part of that may be due to bitcoin’s increasing institutional adoption. In the first year of bitcoin ETFs, those funds have acquired record amounts of capital. And governments are discussing how to hold bitcoin on their balance sheet, as well as how much to own.

Meanwhile, new technologies are being created to better unlock the full potential of bitcoin. That includes ways to make bitcoin easy and simple to buy, hold, and sell. Or to use for transactions and not just a store of digital value.

Given bitcoin’s capped supply, it remains attractive relative to most altcoins out there today. In a strong rally for bitcoin, a catch-up rally could unfold in the altcoins. But for now, with bitcoin consolidating ahead of its next move higher, investors may want to stick with the industry leader.

 

To see the full developments underway in bitcoin now, click here.

Stock market strategies

Martin Shkreli: A Lot of People Don’t Understand Growth Stocks

Investors tend to lump their stock investments into either growth or value. And most investors have an idea of what each of those terms mean. But they’re also investor-specific. One investor’s value play may be a more of a growth play to another.

It’s also easy to call a stock growth based on one or two factors. But it may be a confluence of factors that make an investment truly a growth story compared to a lucky trade.

For instance, some growth investors look for a company that’s building customers and revenues, but may not be earning a profit yet. Others may look for a company that can grow beyond cash flow to actual profits.

One component to identify growth stocks is a company with a high net profit margin. That can show what a company brings in before its expenses, before growth profits. That may be more important than the current valuation of a growth stock.

But no matter what metric an investor prefers for growth, understand that good investments compound. A company with compounding growth will be better than a more cyclical company that oscillates between growth and contraction.

Companies that can deliver long-term compound growth offer the best returns over time. Adding those companies to your portfolio gives you compounding wealth as well.

 

For the full read on why growth matters, click here.

 

Commodities

Kitco News: The World Is Being Repriced Right Now

President Trump is off to a rapid start in his second term. Markets are a bit skeptical about the impact of tariffs. However, investors remain on board with polices like deregulation and low taxes.

But Trump is looking at ways to make big changes in how the U.S. government manages his assets. He’s signed an executive order to create a sovereign wealth fund. Such a fund could better monetize the country’s assets.

That includes assets such as land. The U.S. government owns most of the land in the Western United States. Selling off some of that land, or extracting the resources from that land, could generate billions annually that wouldn’t need to be taxed or borrowed.

That move couldn’t come at a better time. Many nations are sitting on record debt levels. And issuing new debt isn’t having the same impact on GDP that it used to. Over the past 20 years, nations have created $185 trillion in interest-bearing debt. That debt has only generated $46 trillion in GDP growth.

The creation of a sovereign wealth fund could lead to a revaluation of U.S. gold holdings. Currently, the metal trades over $2,900 per ounce. However, it’s still listed on the government’s books at just over $40. And a sovereign wealth fund could also own digital assets such as bitcoin.

 

To see the full ways the United States could better reprice its financial assets, click here.

 

Stock market

Heresy Financial: This Always Happens Right Before a Market Crash

Markets continue to hover near all-time highs. However, several market indicators are known as leading indicators. They can signal a shift in the economy before that move is apparent and the stock market sells off.

By understanding these indicators, and where they are now, investors can be well-positioned ahead of a selloff. While it may not mean avoiding an investment loss entirely, it can mean avoiding the bulk of a loss during a market downturn.

One indicator investors can look for is signs of market euphoria. Today, there are several indicators that measure the fear and greed in the market.

Currently, that reading is near neutral after stocks have been slowly grinding higher. However, at market peaks the reading may soar to over 80 out of a possible 100.

Another indicator is high stock market valuations. Investors have been watching Magnificent 7 stocks rally hard.

But their growing earnings and revenues are keeping their valuations stable right now. So it’s not fair to compare these stocks to the dotcom bubble that burst in 2000 quite yet.

A better recent example was the valuation in SPAC companies in 2021. Those companies were valued at multiples of revenues that they may not have even reached for several years. When valuations rely on a perfect future unfolding, an investment may be at an overly high valuation.

 

To see the full list of indicators that occur before a market crash, click here.

Economy

Macro Optics: Shadow QE Has Been Going On For 2 Years

Most investors have had some caution over the past few years. Why? Rising interest rates. That’s because interest rates represent the cost of money. And those rates rose from near zero percent to their highest level in 15 years.

Consequently, the cost to borrow money has increased significantly. However, that’s just the headline news. Behind the scenes, the banking system has continued to create money. That has expanded the money supply.

As the money supply expands, asset prices generally rise. So even though interest rates have been rising, it’s the increased money supply that have kept markets high.

Rising bank credit indicates that the economy is likely to keep trending higher for now. That’s also a sign that the stock market can trend higher. Improving credit market conditions continue to lead the financial markets.

Signs of financial stress have been on the decline as well. That’s another sign that borrowers and lenders are sitting comfortably right now. But the current read of financial stress is at its lower bound, and could see a spike higher given the current low levels.

Meanwhile, central bank demand for gold continues to rise. As does demand for physical gold by major non-government banks. That could be a sign that markets are preparing for a rainy day now, even while conditions are calm.

 

To see the full analysis behind today’s market conditions, click here.

Commodities

Metals and Miners: There’s Potential For Significant Returns In Mining Stocks

Gold rallied over 24% in 2024. That allowed the metal to not only make new all-time highs, but also beat out the S&P 500. So far, the metal is continuing higher in 2025, even as stocks have stalled out.

Gold prices topped $2,900 going into the start of the week. And with reports of shortages for gold bars for delivery by central banks, the price may yet trend higher. And that’s before retail investors pile in.

While gold’s price has been soaring, mining stocks have traded poorly. They’ve yet to capitalize on gold’s price running higher. That could be due to rising costs, which have weighed on profitability. Those higher costs have led to a higher cost per ounce to mine gold.

However, it could also be a sign that gold’s demand has been for the metal itself so far. But as gold shortages manifest, companies that mine the metal should see stronger returns.

Typically, it’s in the latter half of a commodity rally that the big gains are made on smaller opportunities.

The gold mining stocks have plenty of upside from here, provided gold can continue to trend higher. So far, mining ETFs like the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is up about 15% since the start of the year. Investors can buy a basket of miners to profit from gold’s next likely move higher.

 

To view the full interview, click here.

 

Income investing

Dividend Growth Investor: 25 Companies Rewarding Shareholders With Raises

Markets have been increasingly volatile since the start of the year. Tech stocks have fared worse, with many tech stocks trading in a range since last summer. As the tech rally slows down, so does the overall return in the stock market.

However, investors can still take advantage of income opportunities today. While tech stocks have gotten all the attention, that’s kept dividend-focused companies off the radar. And that makes for a better value for investors today.

A staggering 69 companies announced dividend increases in the past few weeks. However, only 25 of those companies have raised dividends for at least 10 consecutive years.

Yes, past performance is no indication of future performance. But, companies tend to stick with consistency when it comes to paying a dividend.

Among companies raising their dividends now include food giant Mondelez International (MDLZ). The international packaged food giant raised its payout by 12%. And shares have a current yield of just over 3%.

Several pharmaceutical companies have raised their dividends recently. That includes Ely Lilly (LLY), which raised its dividend by 15%, and raised its payout for the 60th consecutive year. Lilly’s dividend is small at 0.8%, but long-term buyers will be rewarded with higher payouts over time.

While pharmaceutical companies have been out of favor with investors recently, they will cycle back in time.

 

To view the full list of companies that raised their dividends for at least 10 consecutive years, click here.

Income investing

Freedom 35 Blog: Could TLT Make a Big Comeback in 2025?

One of the more interesting developments in financial markets over the past few months has involved interest rates. As the Federal Reserve has lowered its short-term rates, long-term rates have trended higher. Typically, that’s the opposite of what should happen.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury even closed in on a 4.8% read at the start of 2025 before pulling back. What can investors expect from rates going forward?

First, it’s likely that traders were overly aggressive sending rates lower ahead of the Fed’s initial rate cuts. Now that the Fed has slowed the pace of its rate cuts, it’s clear that rates shouldn’t have declined as low as they have.

But it’s also clear that rates moved too high in response to that development. That suggests that investors may see rates tick lower in the months ahead. Cooler inflation or jobs data could also fuel a further move lower.

If that’s the case, then investors will want to own long-dated bonds. This can be done individually, or with ease with an ETF. One such ETF is the iShares 20+ Year Treasury ETF (TLT). TLT’s price should rise as yields fall, reflecting a rise in the price of the bonds in its portfolio.

TLT currently pays a 4.2% dividend, and the potential from capital gains as interest rates decline make it attractive.

 

To see the full analysis behind buying TLT now, click here.

 

Stock market strategies

A Wealth of Common Sense: How to Eliminate Negative Alpha

Investors seek alpha. That’s a simple term used to denote the profits made above and beyond the risk involved. Earning 30% in a portfolio of common stocks in a year the index returns 20% generates significant alpha.

But investors need to be aware of negative alpha. That means being in the wrong stocks at the wrong time. And underperforming the overall market as a result.

Generally, most investors tend to follow the market. If stocks have been rising, they throw caution to the wind and increase stock positions. Or, worse, take riskier positions.

When stocks fall, investors move to the sidelines after a decline. That’s also a recipe for poor returns.

Instead, investors may want to employ a strategy that moves contrary to the market. That means buying stocks when they’re down and fear is on the rise. Or selling stocks when prices are soaring higher.

Investors tend to think of cash as a poor investment decision. Over the long-run, that’s certainly true as inflation eats away savings. However, during a bear market, when stocks fall 20% or more, cash’s relatively flat return can prove a lifesaver.

And when stocks start to trend higher again, traders who lean into a rebound can see increased returns. This leads to improved gains and the avoidance of negative alpha during a market cycle.

 

To listen to the full strategy to eliminate negative alpha, click here.

 

International Investing

Beyond the Charts: The China Bull Market May Have Only Just Begun

For the past two years, large-cap tech stocks have dominated stock market returns. And the top tech stocks are also domiciled in the United States. Consequently, there’s been a growing value gap between U.S. stocks and the rest of the world.

After hitting a multi-year low, Chinese stocks have started to trend higher in recent months. Meanwhile, U.S. tech stocks have started to trade sideways. That suggests that Chinese stocks may have more upside ahead.

Thanks to the start of a rally in 2024, Chinese stocks had their best performance in years. That’s even amid fears of a slowing Chinese economy.

Plus, on a valuation basis, Chinese stocks remain far less expensive than their American counterparts.

For instance, Alibaba Group (BABA) trades at about 23 times earnings. That’s about half the valuation of Amazon (AMZN), a comparable company, which trades at over 42 times earnings.

With a relatively low valuation and a stock market now trending higher again, investors may see their best returns with Chinese stocks in 2025. Other international markets also trade at a lower valuation than U.S. stocks.

Given that tariff and tax uncertainties may impact all global markets, the relative value could prove the winner. Investors may want to shift some capital out of high-priced U.S. stocks and move to the value of Chinese stocks now.

 

To watch the full interview, click here.